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Computational approach improves genomic prediction accuracy of agronomically relevant traits

New approach improves the prediction accuracy of agronomically relevant traits
A schematic representation of dynamicGP. Credit: Nature Plants (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41477-025-01986-y

Advances in high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) platforms together with genotyping technologies have revolutionized breeding of varieties with desired traits relying on genomic prediction. Yet, we lack an understanding of the expression of multiple traits at different time points across the entire growth period of the plant.

A research team, including IPK Leibniz Institute and the Max Planck Institute of Molecular Plant Âé¶¹ÒùÔºiology, has developed a computational approach to solve this problem. The were published in the journal Nature Plants.

The phenome of a plant comprises the entirety of traits expressed at any given time, and is the integrated outcome of the effects of genetic factors, and their . Understanding how the crop phenome changes over time can help predict individual traits at specific time points in crop development. However, this problem is challenging not only because of the intricate dependence between individual traits, but also due to differences in how the phenomes of specific genotypes change over the plant life cycle.

The classical approach of genomic prediction (GP) in crops trains machine learning models using data on traits measured in a population of genotypes at a specific time point based on genetic markers. However, existing GP approaches have not yet addressed the problem of predicting the dynamics of multiple traits, i.e., the expression of multiple traits at different time points across the entire growth period of the plant.

The research team introduced dynamicGP, a computational approach that facilitates the prediction of trait dynamics across development in crops for which time-series phenotypic measurements for multiple genotypes are available from HTP platforms.

"We demonstrated that dynamicGP is an efficient to predict genotype-specific dynamics for multiple traits. This is achieved by combining genomic prediction with dynamic mode decomposition (DMD)," says David Hobby, researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Molecular Plant Âé¶¹ÒùÔºiology and one of the first authors of the study.

Using and data from phenotyping of a maize multi-parent advanced generation inter-cross population and an Arabidopsis thaliana diversity panel, the researchers showed that dynamicGP outperforms a state-of-the-art genomic prediction approach for multiple traits.

"We found that the developmental dynamics of traits whose heritability varies less over time can be predicted with higher accuracy, shedding light on a factor that affects the predictability of traits over developmental trajectory," says Dr. Marc Heuermann, researcher at the IPK Leibniz Institute and also one of the first authors of the study.

Therefore, dynamicGP paves the way for interrogating and integrating the dynamical interactions between genotype and phenotype over crop development to improve the prediction accuracy of agronomically relevant traits. Future developments of dynamicGP can rely on extensions of DMD to consider the effects of environmental factors. These will facilitate further refinements of the proposed approach that are expected to have a very substantial impact on breeding crop varieties adapted to particular regions as well as precision agriculture.

More information: David Hobby et al, Predicting plant trait dynamics from genetic markers, Nature Plants (2025).

Journal information: Nature Plants

Provided by Leibniz Institute of Plant Genetics and Crop Plant Research

Citation: Computational approach improves genomic prediction accuracy of agronomically relevant traits (2025, April 24) retrieved 28 April 2025 from /news/2025-04-approach-genomic-accuracy-agronomically-relevant.html
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