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Charles Darwin was a careful scientist. In the middle of the 19th century, while he was collecting evidence for his theory that species evolve by , he noticed it didn't explain the fancy tails of male peacocks, the antlers paraded by male deer, or why some the males of some species are far larger then their female counterparts.

For these quirks, Darwin proposed a secondary theory: the of traits that increase an animal's chance of securing a mate and reproducing. He carefully distinguished between weapons such as horns, spurs, fangs and sheer size that are used to subdue competing rivals, and ornaments that are aimed at charming the opposite sex.

Darwin thought that sexually selected traits could be explained by uneven sex ratios—when there are more males than females in a population, or vice versa. that a male with fewer available females would have to work harder to secure one of them as a mate, and that this competition would drive sexual selection.

In a , my colleagues and I have confirmed a link between sexual selection and sex ratios, as Darwin suspected. But surprisingly, our findings suggest Darwin got things the wrong way round. We found that sexual selection is most pronounced not when potential mates are scarce, but when they're abundant—and this means looking again at the selection pressures at play in animal populations that feature uneven sex ratios.

Since Darwin's time, we've learned a lot about uneven sex ratios, which are common in wild animal populations. For instance, in many and , including humans, the number of adult females exceeds the number of adult males.

This skew is most extreme . In Australian antechinus, for instance, all males after the mating season, so there are times when no adult males are alive and the entire adult population is made up of pregnant females.

In contrast, many birds parade more males than females in their populations. In some plovers, for example, the males by six to one.

So why do many birds species have more males, while mammals often have more females? The short answer is that we don't know. But there are smoking guns.

Explaining uneven sex ratios

Some uneven sex ratios can be partially explained by . , including humans, usually outlive their male counterparts by a wide margin. In humans, females live on average about than males. In and , the female lifespan is longer by up to 50%.

Predator preferences could also play a part. African lions kill approximately male than female buffalo, because male buffalo tend to roam alone, whereas females are protected within herds. In contrast, cheetahs kill Thompson's gazelles than males, presumably because they can outrun female gazelles easier—especially the pregnant ones.

Finally, males and females often from parasites and diseases. The COVID-19 pandemic is a striking example of this: the number of infected men and women is similar in most countries, but male patients have higher odds of death compared to female ones.

Sex ratios and sexual selection

Despite our growing knowledge of uneven sex ratios, Darwin's insight linking sex ratios with sexual selection has received little attention from scientists. Our study sought to address this, pulling together these two strands of evolutionary theory in order to revisit Darwin's argument.

We looked in particular at the evolution of in different species, which are often several times larger than their female counterparts. We see this in , and , for example.

Sometimes, females are larger than males—as with some species of , such as the African jacana. The scientific term for when one sex in a species is larger than the other is "".

It's clear how can sometimes create size dimorphism. Knocking out an enemy requires muscular power, while fight endurance requires stamina. So being bigger often means dominating rivals, thereby winning the evolutionary lottery of reproduction.

Analyzing 462 different species of reptiles, mammals and birds, our study found a tight association between sexual size dimorphism and sex ratios, vindicating Darwin's conjectures.

But the trend was the opposite to the one Darwin predicted with his limited evidence. It turns out the most intense sexual selection—indicated by larger males relative to females—occurred in species where there were plenty of females for males to choose from, rather than a scarcity of females as Darwin suggested.

Implications for sexual selection

This in no way invalidates Darwin's theories of natural selection and sexual selection. Our finding simply shows that a different mechanism to the one Darwin proposed is driving mating competition for animals living in sex-skewed populations.

Darwin's assumption was based on the idea that the most intense competition for mates should occur when there's a shortage of mating partners. But suggest this logic may not be correct, and that sexual selection is actually a system in which the winner takes all.

That means that when there are many potential partners in the population, a top male—in our study, the largest and heaviest—enjoys a disproportionately high payout, fertilizing a large number of females at the expense of smaller males, who may not reproduce at all.

We need further studies to help us understand how males and females seek out new partners in male-skewed and female-skewed populations, and in what circumstances ornaments, armaments and sheer size are particularly useful. Such studies could provide us with unprecedented new insights into how nature works, building on Darwin's original theory of sexual selection.

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